Saturday, January 5, 2008

Final Iowa Results

With 100% of precincts (finally) reporting on both sides of the aisle, here are the final results from the Iowa Caucuses.


GOP
  • Huckabee 34.4%
  • Romney 25.2%
  • Thompson 13.4%
  • McCain 13.1%
  • Paul 10.0%
  • Giuliani 3.5%
  • Hunter 0.4%
DEM
  • Obama 37.6%%
  • Edwards 29.7%
  • Clinton 29.5%
  • Richardson 2.1%
  • Biden 0.9%
  • Dodd 0.0%



This is bad news for Romney who will likely lose in New Hampshire to John McCain. However, the Obama win could help Romney as many Independents (who can vote in either primary in NH) will vote for Obama to boost him above Hillary. As McCain's largest bloc of voters are Independents, this could be a major setback. With Thompson's stronger than expected showing, he will not drop out of the race, and has focuses his resources on South Carolina. Thompson, McCain, Romney, Huckabee, and Giuliani will all be competing extremely heavily in South Carolina. I project Obama to be the Democratic nominee as him will most certainly win New Hampshire and destroy Hillary's image of inevitability. The GOP nomination is still in the air, but my money is on McCain.

***UPDATE***: Sens. Joe Biden and Chris Dodd have dropped out of the race.

Look for my updated New Hampshire predictions on the 7th.

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